The New North: The Eight States Shaping a New European Security
The New North: The Eight States Shaping a New European Security A major shift is underway in the defense posture of Northern Europe. Finland and Sweden joined NATO, ending long …
The End of the Predictable World: Forecasting a World in Turmoil
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The COVID-19 Pandemic. On-and-off-and-on-again tariffs. Over the past few years, the deeply interconnected global system has experienced major shocks …
The Kurdish Crossroads: Iran, Iraq, Turkey, and Syria
Recent hostilities with Iran have once again highlighted the role of the Kurds as a key player in regional conflicts. While seen as a threat by governments in Ankara, Tehran, …
Chokepoints: The Hidden Infrastructure of Global Power
From the Strait of Hormuz to the international monetary system to the semi-conductor supply chain, the world is becoming increasingly aware of how dependence on critical chokepoints is shaping how …
The Philippines and the Contest for the South China Sea.
The Philippines sits at the center of an increasingly contested Indo-Pacific, caught between its traditional ally in Washington and rising interference from Beijing. The country’s strategic location, including control of …
Abu Dhabi’s Ascent: The UAE’s Global Strategy
The United Arab Emirates’ recent decision to leave OPEC after nearly six decades is about far more than oil—it is the latest sign of a growing rift with Saudi Arabia …
Rising Proliferation: Nuclear Risks in a Post-Treaty World
The recent expiration of the New START treaty between the U.S. and Russia marks a structural shift in the global nuclear order, removing the last legally binding constraints on the …
